Kentucky Derby Odds: Justify Pulls Ahead As Saturday's Betting Favorite

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If galumphing through the barns in search of wisdom at this starry, loaded Kentucky Derby, one might brush by Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott telling a TV interviewer, "We're all guessing".

Apollo was the last horse to win the Kentucky Derby without racing as a 2-year-old.

17 hours ago - Kentucky Derby favourite Justify will start the Run for the Roses from the seventh stall, while Mendelssohn and Magnum Moon will be further outside, drawing stall Nos. Still, that is right in line with expectations, as 18- to 20-horse fields have become the norm in contemporary renewals of America's most famous horse race.

Fortunately for bettors, post positions 1 and 20, typically low-producing positions for Derby winners, were taken by very unlikely winners despite the post - Firenze Fire and Combatant.

Gone are the days when a horse that wins a $1 million sprint earns a spot in the Derby only to act as a rabbit for the more-qualified distance runners.

The first Kentucky Derby was held on May 17, 1875, when a crowd of 10,000 saw three-year-old chestnut colt Aristides, ridden by African-American jockey Oliver Lewis, triumph at Churchill Downs. Mendelssohn, trained by Aidan O'Brien, also drew a good post at No. 14, and neither horse will likely see their odds drop significantly with those posts, which are more towards the center. History clearly seems to have factored in Bravazo's case, which is fitting for Calumet and Lukas since both have made their share of it in the Derby. "He handled the quarantine a lot better than I do". Justify is one of two horses that have raced only three times. By comparison, last year's race was won by Always Dreaming, ridden by jockey John Velazquez, in a time of two minutes 3.59 seconds.

"I feel very fortunate", Baffert said this week.

Even if the horses do not win, it will be a special moment for Houghton Hyatt who was born and raised in Louisville. "It's a challenge just to get (to the Derby)".

Gary Young, a serious buyer and seller of thoroughbred racehorses and the most respected person in the U.S. when it comes to observing their race preparation, thought Justify looked like a Kentucky Derby victor before he even ran a race.

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"They wanted to be in on the horse and approached us", Walden said. "The horses are doing well".

And what colossal long shot hits the board?

Magnum Moon drew Stall 16, while Mendelssohn will break from the stall that was home to last year's favourite.

On that occasion the victor was ridden by jockey John Velazquez, and he will ride Vino Rosso who is one of four horses that Pletcher will saddle and hope for a repeat success. "We know they'll appreciate following the story of this remarkable horse as it unfolds".

Bolt d'Oro and the lightly raced Hofburg have to be considered as well, if not as highly as some of the others in the race. Visit SportsLine to get Jody Demling's Kentucky Derby victor, see which huge long shot contends, and get the finish positions for every single horse, all from the man who's picked 9 straight Derby-Oaks doubles! One of Todd Fletcher's four horses in this race, Audible has had decent odds.

If a full field of 20 starters, the gross purse of the Derby will be $2,192,000, with $1,432,000 going to the victor.

A couple of days after the race, a reader called to reprimand me for failing to forecast the victor correctly.

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